Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources indicate Miami overnight lows near 80°F on September 2 amid typical early-September humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and east-southeast flow. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, combined with limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies and high dew points, support minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—consistent with the historical 77°F average but elevated by ongoing tropical moisture. Model runs show minimal spread, with no cold fronts or dry-air intrusions expected to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 76°F would require an atypical steering shift or clearer skies enhancing cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2?
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 50%
73°F or below 47%
78-79°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
73°F or below
47%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
50%
88-89°F
51%
90-91°F
14%
92°F or higher
3%
88-89°F 51%
86-87°F 50%
73°F or below 47%
78-79°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
73°F or below
$160 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$26 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$45 Vol.
50%
88-89°F
$45 Vol.
51%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
14%
92°F or higher
$88 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources indicate Miami overnight lows near 80°F on September 2 amid typical early-September humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and east-southeast flow. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, combined with limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies and high dew points, support minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—consistent with the historical 77°F average but elevated by ongoing tropical moisture. Model runs show minimal spread, with no cold fronts or dry-air intrusions expected to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 76°F would require an atypical steering shift or clearer skies enhancing cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$405End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources indicate Miami overnight lows near 80°F on September 2 amid typical early-September humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and east-southeast flow. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, combined with limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies and high dew points, support minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—consistent with the historical 77°F average but elevated by ongoing tropical moisture. Model runs show minimal spread, with no cold fronts or dry-air intrusions expected to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 76°F would require an atypical steering shift or clearer skies enhancing cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$405End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources indicate Miami overnight lows near 80°F on September 2 amid typical early-September humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and east-southeast flow. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, combined with limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies and high dew points, support minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—consistent with the historical 77°F average but elevated by ongoing tropical moisture. Model runs show minimal spread, with no cold fronts or dry-air intrusions expected to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 76°F would require an atypical steering shift or clearer skies enhancing cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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