Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 2?
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C
36%
33°C or higher
25%
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
$2,298 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$169 Vol.
1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
3%
29°C
$55 Vol.
9%
30°C
$45 Vol.
14%
31°C
$546 Vol.
32%
32°C
$75 Vol.
36%
33°C or higher
$543 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,340End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,340End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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