Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models point to a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, stable high pressure, and light easterly winds that favor modest daytime heating close to the historical early-September average of 27–28°C. Model consensus clusters tightly between 29°C and 31°C, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence; these factors create the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 29°C and 30°C market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
29°C 40%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
40%
30°C
38%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$148 Vol.
16%
29°C
$18 Vol.
40%
30°C
$80 Vol.
38%
31°C
$38 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models point to a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, stable high pressure, and light easterly winds that favor modest daytime heating close to the historical early-September average of 27–28°C. Model consensus clusters tightly between 29°C and 31°C, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence; these factors create the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 29°C and 30°C market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$285End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models point to a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, stable high pressure, and light easterly winds that favor modest daytime heating close to the historical early-September average of 27–28°C. Model consensus clusters tightly between 29°C and 31°C, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence; these factors create the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 29°C and 30°C market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models point to a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, stable high pressure, and light easterly winds that favor modest daytime heating close to the historical early-September average of 27–28°C. Model consensus clusters tightly between 29°C and 31°C, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence; these factors create the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 29°C and 30°C market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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