**Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a most likely overnight low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling.** Recent model runs show limited spread, with consensus highs around 17–18°C and minimal precipitation, consistent with late-winter climatology where September minima average near 9°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 6–11°C bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any late-day observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, will be the key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
11°C 49%
6°C or below 32%
8°C 27%
7°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
6°C or below
32%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
49%
12°C
19%
13°C
18%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
6%
11°C 49%
6°C or below 32%
8°C 27%
7°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
6°C or below
$30 Vol.
32%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$5 Vol.
19%
13°C
$5 Vol.
18%
14°C
$5 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
7%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a most likely overnight low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling.** Recent model runs show limited spread, with consensus highs around 17–18°C and minimal precipitation, consistent with late-winter climatology where September minima average near 9°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 6–11°C bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any late-day observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, will be the key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a most likely overnight low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling.** Recent model runs show limited spread, with consensus highs around 17–18°C and minimal precipitation, consistent with late-winter climatology where September minima average near 9°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 6–11°C bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any late-day observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, will be the key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a most likely overnight low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 1, driven by light easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling.** Recent model runs show limited spread, with consensus highs around 17–18°C and minimal precipitation, consistent with late-winter climatology where September minima average near 9°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 6–11°C bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any late-day observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, will be the key near-term catalysts as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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