Traders favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak temperature in Singapore on August 30 because short-range model guidance and official outlooks point to southeasterly monsoon flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly below the 33–34°C climatological range for late August. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall are expected to limit insolation and cap extreme heating, while recent observations show peaks of 33–34°C under similar patterns. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus clearer intervals that would allow stronger surface heating and urban heat-island amplification. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts, along with the next model runs, will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 30?
32°C 46%
33°C 38%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
46%
33°C
38%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
33°C 38%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
46%
33°C
38%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak temperature in Singapore on August 30 because short-range model guidance and official outlooks point to southeasterly monsoon flow supporting daytime maxima near or slightly below the 33–34°C climatological range for late August. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall are expected to limit insolation and cap extreme heating, while recent observations show peaks of 33–34°C under similar patterns. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus clearer intervals that would allow stronger surface heating and urban heat-island amplification. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts, along with the next model runs, will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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