Forecast models from agencies like the NEA and international sources project Singapore's minimum temperature on August 30 to fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent August observations show minima averaging 1–2°C above the long-term 24.5°C climatological baseline, consistent with the intensifying 2026 El Niño episode elevating regional sea-surface temperatures and suppressing typical overnight drops. Trader consensus around 27°C and higher bins captures this warm anomaly and model spread on storm timing, while lower outcomes reflect historical precedents for brief cooler nights when clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Updated GFS and local runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 30?
32°C or higher 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
30°C 49%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
90%
32°C or higher 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
30°C 49%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the NEA and international sources project Singapore's minimum temperature on August 30 to fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent August observations show minima averaging 1–2°C above the long-term 24.5°C climatological baseline, consistent with the intensifying 2026 El Niño episode elevating regional sea-surface temperatures and suppressing typical overnight drops. Trader consensus around 27°C and higher bins captures this warm anomaly and model spread on storm timing, while lower outcomes reflect historical precedents for brief cooler nights when clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Updated GFS and local runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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