Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 29?
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 Vol.
$1,683 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 Vol.
$1,683 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$339 Vol.
No
23°C
$40 Vol.
No
24°C
$40 Vol.
No
25°C
$201 Vol.
No
26°C
$211 Vol.
No
27°C
$51 Vol.
No
28°C
$511 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$144 Vol.
No
30°C
$30 Vol.
No
31°C
$55 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$60 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,683End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,683End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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