Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 1?
56-57°F 49%
72°F or higher 49%
54-55°F 47%
68-69°F 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
53°F or below
10%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
44%
72°F or higher
49%
56-57°F 49%
72°F or higher 49%
54-55°F 47%
68-69°F 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
53°F or below
$0 Vol.
10%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
47%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
25%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
44%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
44%
72°F or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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