Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low near 80°F for Houston on September 1, with partly cloudy skies, a 50% storm chance, and south-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but sits amid persistent upper-90s heat and high humidity that can trap warmth overnight. Trader balance between sub-72°F (49%) and 90°F+ (48%) outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in storm timing and any unexpected clearing that could drop temperatures several degrees below guidance. Mid-range bins around 78–81°F trade near 26%, consistent with ensemble consensus while acknowledging model spread and sea-breeze influences before final observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 1?
71°F or below 96%
90°F or higher 59%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
71°F or below
96%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
44%
90°F or higher
59%
71°F or below 96%
90°F or higher 59%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
96%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
44%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
44%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low near 80°F for Houston on September 1, with partly cloudy skies, a 50% storm chance, and south-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but sits amid persistent upper-90s heat and high humidity that can trap warmth overnight. Trader balance between sub-72°F (49%) and 90°F+ (48%) outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in storm timing and any unexpected clearing that could drop temperatures several degrees below guidance. Mid-range bins around 78–81°F trade near 26%, consistent with ensemble consensus while acknowledging model spread and sea-breeze influences before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low near 80°F for Houston on September 1, with partly cloudy skies, a 50% storm chance, and south-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but sits amid persistent upper-90s heat and high humidity that can trap warmth overnight. Trader balance between sub-72°F (49%) and 90°F+ (48%) outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in storm timing and any unexpected clearing that could drop temperatures several degrees below guidance. Mid-range bins around 78–81°F trade near 26%, consistent with ensemble consensus while acknowledging model spread and sea-breeze influences before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low near 80°F for Houston on September 1, with partly cloudy skies, a 50% storm chance, and south-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but sits amid persistent upper-90s heat and high humidity that can trap warmth overnight. Trader balance between sub-72°F (49%) and 90°F+ (48%) outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in storm timing and any unexpected clearing that could drop temperatures several degrees below guidance. Mid-range bins around 78–81°F trade near 26%, consistent with ensemble consensus while acknowledging model spread and sea-breeze influences before final observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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