Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs and agency guidance, positions Karachi's September 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 65–80 %. Historical climatology shows September 3 averages 27–31 °C with low probability of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with current short-range forecasts that lack signals for strong heating or cooling anomalies. The market's heaviest weighting on 31 °C reflects this tight clustering of ensemble outputs, while modest volume on 30 °C and 32 °C captures remaining model spread and the chance of small diurnal or observational adjustments before resolution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
31°C 50%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
18%
31°C
50%
32°C
27%
33°C
8%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$7 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$51 Vol.
50%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$10 Vol.
8%
34°C
$20 Vol.
7%
35°C
$111 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs and agency guidance, positions Karachi's September 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 65–80 %. Historical climatology shows September 3 averages 27–31 °C with low probability of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with current short-range forecasts that lack signals for strong heating or cooling anomalies. The market's heaviest weighting on 31 °C reflects this tight clustering of ensemble outputs, while modest volume on 30 °C and 32 °C captures remaining model spread and the chance of small diurnal or observational adjustments before resolution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$412End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs and agency guidance, positions Karachi's September 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 65–80 %. Historical climatology shows September 3 averages 27–31 °C with low probability of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with current short-range forecasts that lack signals for strong heating or cooling anomalies. The market's heaviest weighting on 31 °C reflects this tight clustering of ensemble outputs, while modest volume on 30 °C and 32 °C captures remaining model spread and the chance of small diurnal or observational adjustments before resolution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$412End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs and agency guidance, positions Karachi's September 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 65–80 %. Historical climatology shows September 3 averages 27–31 °C with low probability of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with current short-range forecasts that lack signals for strong heating or cooling anomalies. The market's heaviest weighting on 31 °C reflects this tight clustering of ensemble outputs, while modest volume on 30 °C and 32 °C captures remaining model spread and the chance of small diurnal or observational adjustments before resolution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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