Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with a high near 90–92°F in Denver on September 3, driven by a warm air mass and limited cloud cover under high pressure. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus across sources shows afternoon temperatures peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk under 15%. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 90–93°F reflects this agreement, while lower odds on 94°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes account for typical short-range forecast uncertainty from minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary data for further refinement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 3?
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$7 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$273 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
37%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$7 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with a high near 90–92°F in Denver on September 3, driven by a warm air mass and limited cloud cover under high pressure. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus across sources shows afternoon temperatures peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk under 15%. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 90–93°F reflects this agreement, while lower odds on 94°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes account for typical short-range forecast uncertainty from minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary data for further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$357End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with a high near 90–92°F in Denver on September 3, driven by a warm air mass and limited cloud cover under high pressure. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus across sources shows afternoon temperatures peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk under 15%. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 90–93°F reflects this agreement, while lower odds on 94°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes account for typical short-range forecast uncertainty from minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary data for further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$357End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with a high near 90–92°F in Denver on September 3, driven by a warm air mass and limited cloud cover under high pressure. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus across sources shows afternoon temperatures peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk under 15%. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 90–93°F reflects this agreement, while lower odds on 94°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes account for typical short-range forecast uncertainty from minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary data for further refinement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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