Recent short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate mostly sunny conditions over Denver on September 2, 2026, with daytime highs projected between 83–90°F amid light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s September outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and positive long-term temperature trends. Historical averages near 84°F provide context, but current model consensus points to a warmer anomaly that positions the 88–91°F range as the most probable outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this by concentrating probability on those bins, while lower ranges account for potential cooling from late-day mixing or model variability. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 2?
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
84-85°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
84-85°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
77°F or below
$435 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$62 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$195 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$100 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$203 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$158 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$1,561 Vol.
42%
90-91°F
$319 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$198 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$174 Vol.
1%
96°F or higher
$118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate mostly sunny conditions over Denver on September 2, 2026, with daytime highs projected between 83–90°F amid light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s September outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and positive long-term temperature trends. Historical averages near 84°F provide context, but current model consensus points to a warmer anomaly that positions the 88–91°F range as the most probable outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this by concentrating probability on those bins, while lower ranges account for potential cooling from late-day mixing or model variability. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,523End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate mostly sunny conditions over Denver on September 2, 2026, with daytime highs projected between 83–90°F amid light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s September outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and positive long-term temperature trends. Historical averages near 84°F provide context, but current model consensus points to a warmer anomaly that positions the 88–91°F range as the most probable outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this by concentrating probability on those bins, while lower ranges account for potential cooling from late-day mixing or model variability. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,523End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas indicate mostly sunny conditions over Denver on September 2, 2026, with daytime highs projected between 83–90°F amid light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s September outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and positive long-term temperature trends. Historical averages near 84°F provide context, but current model consensus points to a warmer anomaly that positions the 88–91°F range as the most probable outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this by concentrating probability on those bins, while lower ranges account for potential cooling from late-day mixing or model variability. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the date remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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