**Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 31 position the daily maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including those from WeatherBug (83 °F / ~28 °C), Yr.no (peaking at 28 °C), MeteoNews and Turkish sources (29–30 °C), converge on this narrow range as the most probable outcome. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (57.5 %) and secondary support for 27 °C (21.5 %) and 29 °C (16 %) directly reflects this model consensus. Ankara’s late-August continental climate at ~900 m elevation normally supports highs around 30 °C, but a recent influx of cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover has tempered readings. August 29 saw maxima near 23–25 °C with showers in places; August 30 is expected to reach only ~26 °C before a modest rebound. Persistent NE flow and limited insolation keep the peak from climbing higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or southerly advection prevents much warmer readings. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service station network. With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, additional model runs and satellite data will provide the final refinements; any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the realized maximum by 1 °C in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
28°C 57%
27°C 23%
29°C 16%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
23%
28°C
57%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 23%
29°C 16%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$259 Vol.
1%
25°C
$172 Vol.
2%
26°C
$64 Vol.
4%
27°C
$647 Vol.
23%
28°C
$482 Vol.
57%
29°C
$308 Vol.
16%
30°C
$290 Vol.
2%
31°C
$165 Vol.
2%
32°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 31 position the daily maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including those from WeatherBug (83 °F / ~28 °C), Yr.no (peaking at 28 °C), MeteoNews and Turkish sources (29–30 °C), converge on this narrow range as the most probable outcome. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (57.5 %) and secondary support for 27 °C (21.5 %) and 29 °C (16 %) directly reflects this model consensus.
Ankara’s late-August continental climate at ~900 m elevation normally supports highs around 30 °C, but a recent influx of cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover has tempered readings. August 29 saw maxima near 23–25 °C with showers in places; August 30 is expected to reach only ~26 °C before a modest rebound. Persistent NE flow and limited insolation keep the peak from climbing higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or southerly advection prevents much warmer readings. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service station network.
With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, additional model runs and satellite data will provide the final refinements; any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the realized maximum by 1 °C in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,924End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 31 position the daily maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including those from WeatherBug (83 °F / ~28 °C), Yr.no (peaking at 28 °C), MeteoNews and Turkish sources (29–30 °C), converge on this narrow range as the most probable outcome. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (57.5 %) and secondary support for 27 °C (21.5 %) and 29 °C (16 %) directly reflects this model consensus.
Ankara’s late-August continental climate at ~900 m elevation normally supports highs around 30 °C, but a recent influx of cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover has tempered readings. August 29 saw maxima near 23–25 °C with showers in places; August 30 is expected to reach only ~26 °C before a modest rebound. Persistent NE flow and limited insolation keep the peak from climbing higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or southerly advection prevents much warmer readings. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service station network.
With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, additional model runs and satellite data will provide the final refinements; any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the realized maximum by 1 °C in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,924End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 31 position the daily maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including those from WeatherBug (83 °F / ~28 °C), Yr.no (peaking at 28 °C), MeteoNews and Turkish sources (29–30 °C), converge on this narrow range as the most probable outcome. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (57.5 %) and secondary support for 27 °C (21.5 %) and 29 °C (16 %) directly reflects this model consensus. Ankara’s late-August continental climate at ~900 m elevation normally supports highs around 30 °C, but a recent influx of cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover has tempered readings. August 29 saw maxima near 23–25 °C with showers in places; August 30 is expected to reach only ~26 °C before a modest rebound. Persistent NE flow and limited insolation keep the peak from climbing higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or southerly advection prevents much warmer readings. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service station network. With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, additional model runs and satellite data will provide the final refinements; any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the realized maximum by 1 °C in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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