Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers over Ankara on August 29, limiting daytime heating and positioning maximum temperatures near 23–24 °C as the most probable outcomes. Northerly flow and precipitation potential suppress surface warming compared with recent days’ clearer conditions, while climatological August averages near 29–30 °C underscore the deviation driven by this synoptic pattern. Updated short-range guidance continues to refine the timing and intensity of any showers, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the lower end of the historical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
23°C 38%
24°C 26%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
38%
24°C
26%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
24°C 26%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
38%
24°C
26%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers over Ankara on August 29, limiting daytime heating and positioning maximum temperatures near 23–24 °C as the most probable outcomes. Northerly flow and precipitation potential suppress surface warming compared with recent days’ clearer conditions, while climatological August averages near 29–30 °C underscore the deviation driven by this synoptic pattern. Updated short-range guidance continues to refine the timing and intensity of any showers, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the lower end of the historical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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