Forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara near 14–15°C on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–15°C because small differences in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and local wind gusts can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official guidance notes temperatures near seasonal norms with potential for localized cooling under clearer breaks, while model consensus remains split on whether the lowest reading occurs before or after any evening rain. Traders weigh these variables against historical August minima near 16°C, with resolution depending on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
12°C 88%
14°C 48%
13°C 48%
15°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
88%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
46%
17°C
47%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 88%
14°C 48%
13°C 48%
15°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$306 Vol.
5%
12°C
$77 Vol.
88%
13°C
$2 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$5 Vol.
46%
17°C
$20 Vol.
47%
18°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$98 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara near 14–15°C on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–15°C because small differences in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and local wind gusts can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official guidance notes temperatures near seasonal norms with potential for localized cooling under clearer breaks, while model consensus remains split on whether the lowest reading occurs before or after any evening rain. Traders weigh these variables against historical August minima near 16°C, with resolution depending on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$806End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara near 14–15°C on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–15°C because small differences in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and local wind gusts can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official guidance notes temperatures near seasonal norms with potential for localized cooling under clearer breaks, while model consensus remains split on whether the lowest reading occurs before or after any evening rain. Traders weigh these variables against historical August minima near 16°C, with resolution depending on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$806End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara near 14–15°C on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–15°C because small differences in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and local wind gusts can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official guidance notes temperatures near seasonal norms with potential for localized cooling under clearer breaks, while model consensus remains split on whether the lowest reading occurs before or after any evening rain. Traders weigh these variables against historical August minima near 16°C, with resolution depending on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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