Recent multi-model forecasts from the Met Office, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological sources project Ankara's overnight low on August 30 near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds following recent showers. Ankara's high plateau elevation enhances radiational cooling after sunset, while dry advection limits cloud re-formation and supports sharper temperature drops. Historical late-August climatology averages around 12°C, yet current guidance shows slightly milder conditions due to residual moisture and modest wind. Market-implied odds clustered around 12°C versus cooler outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine the minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
9°C or below 67%
10°C 47%
11°C 47%
14°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
67%
10°C
47%
11°C
47%
12°C
39%
13°C
27%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
10%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 67%
10°C 47%
11°C 47%
14°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
10°C
$0 Vol.
47%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
10%
18°C
$5 Vol.
10%
19°C or higher
$39 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from the Met Office, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological sources project Ankara's overnight low on August 30 near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds following recent showers. Ankara's high plateau elevation enhances radiational cooling after sunset, while dry advection limits cloud re-formation and supports sharper temperature drops. Historical late-August climatology averages around 12°C, yet current guidance shows slightly milder conditions due to residual moisture and modest wind. Market-implied odds clustered around 12°C versus cooler outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$49End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from the Met Office, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological sources project Ankara's overnight low on August 30 near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds following recent showers. Ankara's high plateau elevation enhances radiational cooling after sunset, while dry advection limits cloud re-formation and supports sharper temperature drops. Historical late-August climatology averages around 12°C, yet current guidance shows slightly milder conditions due to residual moisture and modest wind. Market-implied odds clustered around 12°C versus cooler outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from the Met Office, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological sources project Ankara's overnight low on August 30 near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds following recent showers. Ankara's high plateau elevation enhances radiational cooling after sunset, while dry advection limits cloud re-formation and supports sharper temperature drops. Historical late-August climatology averages around 12°C, yet current guidance shows slightly milder conditions due to residual moisture and modest wind. Market-implied odds clustered around 12°C versus cooler outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine the minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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