Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
14°C 49%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
-
12°C
2%
13°C
35%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 49%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
10°C
$85 Vol.
2%
11°C
$101 Vol.
-
12°C
$87 Vol.
2%
13°C
$60 Vol.
35%
14°C
$216 Vol.
49%
15°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$762End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$762End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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