Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicates a daily high of 78–81 °F on September 3 under partly cloudy to sunny skies, consistent with the historical September average of 76.7 °F and the influence of a persistent marine layer that limits extreme warming. Light southwest winds and the absence of strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–79 °F bins. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing depth and sea-breeze timing accounts for the residual probability on adjacent ranges, while climatological records show that values above 82 °F or below 74 °F are uncommon this early in the month without significant synoptic shifts. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$13 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$20 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$26 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$327 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$205 Vol.
51%
78-79°F
$453 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$16 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
3%
84°F or higher
$63 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicates a daily high of 78–81 °F on September 3 under partly cloudy to sunny skies, consistent with the historical September average of 76.7 °F and the influence of a persistent marine layer that limits extreme warming. Light southwest winds and the absence of strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–79 °F bins. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing depth and sea-breeze timing accounts for the residual probability on adjacent ranges, while climatological records show that values above 82 °F or below 74 °F are uncommon this early in the month without significant synoptic shifts. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,320End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicates a daily high of 78–81 °F on September 3 under partly cloudy to sunny skies, consistent with the historical September average of 76.7 °F and the influence of a persistent marine layer that limits extreme warming. Light southwest winds and the absence of strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–79 °F bins. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing depth and sea-breeze timing accounts for the residual probability on adjacent ranges, while climatological records show that values above 82 °F or below 74 °F are uncommon this early in the month without significant synoptic shifts. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,320End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicates a daily high of 78–81 °F on September 3 under partly cloudy to sunny skies, consistent with the historical September average of 76.7 °F and the influence of a persistent marine layer that limits extreme warming. Light southwest winds and the absence of strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–79 °F bins. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing depth and sea-breeze timing accounts for the residual probability on adjacent ranges, while climatological records show that values above 82 °F or below 74 °F are uncommon this early in the month without significant synoptic shifts. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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