Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting highs near 29–30°C rather than the 32.8°C climatological average. These conditions stem from a regional weather pattern featuring increased moisture and reduced insolation, with precipitation probabilities around 40–50% further moderating peak temperatures through evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, aligns with this near-term model agreement while acknowledging uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing that could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
29°C 30%
30°C 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
27%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
30°C 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
3%
27°C
$33 Vol.
5%
28°C
$52 Vol.
12%
29°C
$18 Vol.
30%
30°C
$9 Vol.
27%
31°C
$115 Vol.
15%
32°C
$535 Vol.
4%
33°C
$102 Vol.
2%
34°C
$41 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting highs near 29–30°C rather than the 32.8°C climatological average. These conditions stem from a regional weather pattern featuring increased moisture and reduced insolation, with precipitation probabilities around 40–50% further moderating peak temperatures through evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, aligns with this near-term model agreement while acknowledging uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing that could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,301End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting highs near 29–30°C rather than the 32.8°C climatological average. These conditions stem from a regional weather pattern featuring increased moisture and reduced insolation, with precipitation probabilities around 40–50% further moderating peak temperatures through evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, aligns with this near-term model agreement while acknowledging uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing that could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,301End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting highs near 29–30°C rather than the 32.8°C climatological average. These conditions stem from a regional weather pattern featuring increased moisture and reduced insolation, with precipitation probabilities around 40–50% further moderating peak temperatures through evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, aligns with this near-term model agreement while acknowledging uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing that could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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