Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami highs of 86–89°F on September 3 amid typical early-September conditions of high humidity, light southeast flow, and afternoon convection. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap insolation and prevent readings from climbing into the mid-90s, keeping 90–91°F the market favorite at 45% while 88–89°F holds secondary support. These outcomes align with climatological averages near 89°F and the absence of any anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would allow stronger heating. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if drier air or clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 3?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 21%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 21%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
77°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
4%
96°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami highs of 86–89°F on September 3 amid typical early-September conditions of high humidity, light southeast flow, and afternoon convection. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap insolation and prevent readings from climbing into the mid-90s, keeping 90–91°F the market favorite at 45% while 88–89°F holds secondary support. These outcomes align with climatological averages near 89°F and the absence of any anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would allow stronger heating. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if drier air or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami highs of 86–89°F on September 3 amid typical early-September conditions of high humidity, light southeast flow, and afternoon convection. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap insolation and prevent readings from climbing into the mid-90s, keeping 90–91°F the market favorite at 45% while 88–89°F holds secondary support. These outcomes align with climatological averages near 89°F and the absence of any anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would allow stronger heating. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if drier air or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to Miami highs of 86–89°F on September 3 amid typical early-September conditions of high humidity, light southeast flow, and afternoon convection. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are expected to cap insolation and prevent readings from climbing into the mid-90s, keeping 90–91°F the market favorite at 45% while 88–89°F holds secondary support. These outcomes align with climatological averages near 89°F and the absence of any anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would allow stronger heating. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if drier air or clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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