Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 3?
16°C 32%
15°C 26%
17°C 21%
14°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
19%
15°C
26%
16°C
32%
17°C
21%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 32%
15°C 26%
17°C 21%
14°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$7 Vol.
7%
14°C
$5 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$20 Vol.
9%
19°C
$22 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$4 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$59End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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