**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4 centers on the narrow 24–26°C band because recent forecasts and climatology converge tightly around 25°C.** Panama City’s equatorial location and September rainy-season conditions produce a small diurnal range, with average overnight lows near 24–25°C and high humidity (often above 80%) plus frequent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus for September 4 point to lows of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with historical September minima of 24–25°C. The near-even probabilities for 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (48.0%) reflect this clustering, while slightly lower odds for 24°C or 27°C capture residual uncertainty in thunderstorm timing or minor steering-flow shifts that could alter overnight cloud cover or moisture. Extreme tails (19°C or below, 29°C or higher) remain discounted because sustained dry or strongly suppressed conditions are atypical this time of year. New model runs and regional observations over the next 48 hours will be the key updates traders monitor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
19°C or below 85%
29°C or higher 85%
22°C 81%
27°C 81%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
85%
20°C
80%
21°C
80%
22°C
81%
23°C
80%
24°C
43%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
81%
28°C
80%
29°C or higher
85%
19°C or below 85%
29°C or higher 85%
22°C 81%
27°C 81%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
20°C
$0 Vol.
80%
21°C
$0 Vol.
80%
22°C
$0 Vol.
81%
23°C
$0 Vol.
80%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
81%
28°C
$0 Vol.
80%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4 centers on the narrow 24–26°C band because recent forecasts and climatology converge tightly around 25°C.**
Panama City’s equatorial location and September rainy-season conditions produce a small diurnal range, with average overnight lows near 24–25°C and high humidity (often above 80%) plus frequent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus for September 4 point to lows of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with historical September minima of 24–25°C.
The near-even probabilities for 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (48.0%) reflect this clustering, while slightly lower odds for 24°C or 27°C capture residual uncertainty in thunderstorm timing or minor steering-flow shifts that could alter overnight cloud cover or moisture. Extreme tails (19°C or below, 29°C or higher) remain discounted because sustained dry or strongly suppressed conditions are atypical this time of year. New model runs and regional observations over the next 48 hours will be the key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4 centers on the narrow 24–26°C band because recent forecasts and climatology converge tightly around 25°C.**
Panama City’s equatorial location and September rainy-season conditions produce a small diurnal range, with average overnight lows near 24–25°C and high humidity (often above 80%) plus frequent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus for September 4 point to lows of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with historical September minima of 24–25°C.
The near-even probabilities for 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (48.0%) reflect this clustering, while slightly lower odds for 24°C or 27°C capture residual uncertainty in thunderstorm timing or minor steering-flow shifts that could alter overnight cloud cover or moisture. Extreme tails (19°C or below, 29°C or higher) remain discounted because sustained dry or strongly suppressed conditions are atypical this time of year. New model runs and regional observations over the next 48 hours will be the key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4 centers on the narrow 24–26°C band because recent forecasts and climatology converge tightly around 25°C.** Panama City’s equatorial location and September rainy-season conditions produce a small diurnal range, with average overnight lows near 24–25°C and high humidity (often above 80%) plus frequent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus for September 4 point to lows of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with historical September minima of 24–25°C. The near-even probabilities for 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (48.0%) reflect this clustering, while slightly lower odds for 24°C or 27°C capture residual uncertainty in thunderstorm timing or minor steering-flow shifts that could alter overnight cloud cover or moisture. Extreme tails (19°C or below, 29°C or higher) remain discounted because sustained dry or strongly suppressed conditions are atypical this time of year. New model runs and regional observations over the next 48 hours will be the key updates traders monitor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions