Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources like Yr.no, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C for Moscow on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 (highs 24–26 °C) driven by southerly flow, with an incoming Atlantic cyclone promoting cooler air advection and reduced insolation by early September. The projected peak aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0 °C for the date, while historical extremes (up to 28.2 °C) remain unlikely given the current steering pattern and cloud cover. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours, supporting trader concentration on the 18–21 °C outcomes as the most probable range before any final forecast adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
20°C 42%
19°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
21%
19°C
29%
20°C
42%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
19°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$20 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$13 Vol.
6%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources like Yr.no, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C for Moscow on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 (highs 24–26 °C) driven by southerly flow, with an incoming Atlantic cyclone promoting cooler air advection and reduced insolation by early September. The projected peak aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0 °C for the date, while historical extremes (up to 28.2 °C) remain unlikely given the current steering pattern and cloud cover. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours, supporting trader concentration on the 18–21 °C outcomes as the most probable range before any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$414End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources like Yr.no, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C for Moscow on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 (highs 24–26 °C) driven by southerly flow, with an incoming Atlantic cyclone promoting cooler air advection and reduced insolation by early September. The projected peak aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0 °C for the date, while historical extremes (up to 28.2 °C) remain unlikely given the current steering pattern and cloud cover. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours, supporting trader concentration on the 18–21 °C outcomes as the most probable range before any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$414End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources like Yr.no, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C for Moscow on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 (highs 24–26 °C) driven by southerly flow, with an incoming Atlantic cyclone promoting cooler air advection and reduced insolation by early September. The projected peak aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.0 °C for the date, while historical extremes (up to 28.2 °C) remain unlikely given the current steering pattern and cloud cover. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours, supporting trader concentration on the 18–21 °C outcomes as the most probable range before any final forecast adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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