Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and numerical models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 4 with light easterly or southerly winds, sustaining daytime heating without significant moisture influx or cloud buildup to suppress maxima. This setup favors peak temperatures near 34–35°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points around 17–20°C, and minor model spread in shortwave radiation absorption differentiate those two outcomes from lower or higher bins. Persistent high-pressure influence and typical early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin have kept recent days in the mid-30s°C range without rapid changes expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 4?
34°C 31%
35°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
15%
34°C
31%
35°C
30%
36°C
18%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
34°C 31%
35°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
29°C or below
$57 Vol.
1%
30°C
$75 Vol.
2%
31°C
$20 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2 Vol.
7%
33°C
$8 Vol.
15%
34°C
$0 Vol.
31%
35°C
$0 Vol.
30%
36°C
$25 Vol.
18%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C
$0 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and numerical models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 4 with light easterly or southerly winds, sustaining daytime heating without significant moisture influx or cloud buildup to suppress maxima. This setup favors peak temperatures near 34–35°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points around 17–20°C, and minor model spread in shortwave radiation absorption differentiate those two outcomes from lower or higher bins. Persistent high-pressure influence and typical early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin have kept recent days in the mid-30s°C range without rapid changes expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$187End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and numerical models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 4 with light easterly or southerly winds, sustaining daytime heating without significant moisture influx or cloud buildup to suppress maxima. This setup favors peak temperatures near 34–35°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points around 17–20°C, and minor model spread in shortwave radiation absorption differentiate those two outcomes from lower or higher bins. Persistent high-pressure influence and typical early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin have kept recent days in the mid-30s°C range without rapid changes expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$187End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and numerical models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 4 with light easterly or southerly winds, sustaining daytime heating without significant moisture influx or cloud buildup to suppress maxima. This setup favors peak temperatures near 34–35°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points around 17–20°C, and minor model spread in shortwave radiation absorption differentiate those two outcomes from lower or higher bins. Persistent high-pressure influence and typical early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin have kept recent days in the mid-30s°C range without rapid changes expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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