Recent short-range forecast models for Munich show moderate uncertainty around an approaching frontal system expected to bring rain and westerly flow on September 5, moderating daytime highs near 21–24 °C while nighttime radiative cooling and cloud cover determine the minimum. Official guidance and ensemble spreads currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 13–16 °C range, consistent with the September climatological average low of 11.6 °C, yet slight differences in precipitation timing, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture create divergence between cooler outcomes near 11 °C or below and warmer readings above 18 °C. Traders are weighting these variables heavily because even a 1–2 °C shift from model consensus can move resolution across multiple listed thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
11°C or below 69%
21°C or higher 59%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
69%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
59%
11°C or below 69%
21°C or higher 59%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
12°C
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$20 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Munich show moderate uncertainty around an approaching frontal system expected to bring rain and westerly flow on September 5, moderating daytime highs near 21–24 °C while nighttime radiative cooling and cloud cover determine the minimum. Official guidance and ensemble spreads currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 13–16 °C range, consistent with the September climatological average low of 11.6 °C, yet slight differences in precipitation timing, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture create divergence between cooler outcomes near 11 °C or below and warmer readings above 18 °C. Traders are weighting these variables heavily because even a 1–2 °C shift from model consensus can move resolution across multiple listed thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Munich show moderate uncertainty around an approaching frontal system expected to bring rain and westerly flow on September 5, moderating daytime highs near 21–24 °C while nighttime radiative cooling and cloud cover determine the minimum. Official guidance and ensemble spreads currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 13–16 °C range, consistent with the September climatological average low of 11.6 °C, yet slight differences in precipitation timing, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture create divergence between cooler outcomes near 11 °C or below and warmer readings above 18 °C. Traders are weighting these variables heavily because even a 1–2 °C shift from model consensus can move resolution across multiple listed thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models for Munich show moderate uncertainty around an approaching frontal system expected to bring rain and westerly flow on September 5, moderating daytime highs near 21–24 °C while nighttime radiative cooling and cloud cover determine the minimum. Official guidance and ensemble spreads currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 13–16 °C range, consistent with the September climatological average low of 11.6 °C, yet slight differences in precipitation timing, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture create divergence between cooler outcomes near 11 °C or below and warmer readings above 18 °C. Traders are weighting these variables heavily because even a 1–2 °C shift from model consensus can move resolution across multiple listed thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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