**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from an unsettled subtropical pattern are the main factors capping Taipei's maximum temperature near 29–32°C on September 3.** Multiple forecast models show high humidity (80–95%), easterly flow, and thunderstorm probabilities of 70–95% that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime highs below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent developments through early September include ongoing showers and moisture from the East Asian monsoon fringe, with no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup to push readings to 33°C or higher. The close market clustering around 30–32°C reflects model spread in rainfall timing and intensity, where even modest breaks in cloud cover could add 1–2°C while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end near 29°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
31°C 50%
30°C 32%
32°C 30%
29°C 29%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
29%
30°C
32%
31°C
35%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 50%
30°C 32%
32°C 30%
29°C 29%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
29%
30°C
32%
31°C
35%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from an unsettled subtropical pattern are the main factors capping Taipei's maximum temperature near 29–32°C on September 3.** Multiple forecast models show high humidity (80–95%), easterly flow, and thunderstorm probabilities of 70–95% that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime highs below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent developments through early September include ongoing showers and moisture from the East Asian monsoon fringe, with no strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup to push readings to 33°C or higher. The close market clustering around 30–32°C reflects model spread in rainfall timing and intensity, where even modest breaks in cloud cover could add 1–2°C while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end near 29°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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