Recent atmospheric influences, including the subtropical high's periphery and a tropical cyclone remnant trough, have driven scattered showers and cooler air into Wuhan through early September, tempering highs. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 3 show clearing skies with highs clustering near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), though lingering moisture and variable northerly winds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight distribution favoring 29–30°C outcomes, as models diverge modestly on timing of full clearing and diurnal heating. Historical September averages for the city hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the current setup ahead of post-event warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
29°C 40%
30°C 40%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
16%
29°C
25%
30°C
25%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 40%
30°C 40%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$76 Vol.
1%
24°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$115 Vol.
2%
26°C
$32 Vol.
5%
27°C
$25 Vol.
11%
28°C
$3 Vol.
16%
29°C
$3 Vol.
25%
30°C
$3 Vol.
25%
31°C
$19 Vol.
8%
32°C
$21 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$27 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric influences, including the subtropical high's periphery and a tropical cyclone remnant trough, have driven scattered showers and cooler air into Wuhan through early September, tempering highs. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 3 show clearing skies with highs clustering near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), though lingering moisture and variable northerly winds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight distribution favoring 29–30°C outcomes, as models diverge modestly on timing of full clearing and diurnal heating. Historical September averages for the city hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the current setup ahead of post-event warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$516End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric influences, including the subtropical high's periphery and a tropical cyclone remnant trough, have driven scattered showers and cooler air into Wuhan through early September, tempering highs. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 3 show clearing skies with highs clustering near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), though lingering moisture and variable northerly winds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight distribution favoring 29–30°C outcomes, as models diverge modestly on timing of full clearing and diurnal heating. Historical September averages for the city hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the current setup ahead of post-event warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$516End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric influences, including the subtropical high's periphery and a tropical cyclone remnant trough, have driven scattered showers and cooler air into Wuhan through early September, tempering highs. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 3 show clearing skies with highs clustering near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), though lingering moisture and variable northerly winds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight distribution favoring 29–30°C outcomes, as models diverge modestly on timing of full clearing and diurnal heating. Historical September averages for the city hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the current setup ahead of post-event warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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