Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs updated as of September 2, indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-September climatology near the long-term average high of roughly 27–28°C, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon heating. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C reflects model consensus on modest wind-driven mixing and potential slight cooling from the prevailing Etesian flow, while lower probabilities on 27°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 59%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
21%
26°C
59%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$177 Vol.
1%
23°C
$135 Vol.
1%
24°C
$84 Vol.
4%
25°C
$498 Vol.
21%
26°C
$2,570 Vol.
59%
27°C
$123 Vol.
16%
28°C
$81 Vol.
4%
29°C
$257 Vol.
1%
30°C
$86 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs updated as of September 2, indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-September climatology near the long-term average high of roughly 27–28°C, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon heating. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C reflects model consensus on modest wind-driven mixing and potential slight cooling from the prevailing Etesian flow, while lower probabilities on 27°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,173End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs updated as of September 2, indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-September climatology near the long-term average high of roughly 27–28°C, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon heating. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C reflects model consensus on modest wind-driven mixing and potential slight cooling from the prevailing Etesian flow, while lower probabilities on 27°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,173End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs updated as of September 2, indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-September climatology near the long-term average high of roughly 27–28°C, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon heating. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C reflects model consensus on modest wind-driven mixing and potential slight cooling from the prevailing Etesian flow, while lower probabilities on 27°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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