Current forecast models from multiple sources project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 4 near 29–31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning with September climatology for the Red Sea coast where high humidity (around 50–60%) restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minima. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have produced no recent cooling influences or frontal passages to drive temperatures toward 25°C or below, while typical daily ranges rarely push minima to 35°C or higher. Model consensus on wind speed and cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty around exact overnight values, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds near the historical baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 100%
30°C 50%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
100%
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 100%
30°C 50%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 4 near 29–31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning with September climatology for the Red Sea coast where high humidity (around 50–60%) restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minima. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have produced no recent cooling influences or frontal passages to drive temperatures toward 25°C or below, while typical daily ranges rarely push minima to 35°C or higher. Model consensus on wind speed and cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty around exact overnight values, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds near the historical baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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