Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan around 27–30°C on September 3, with 40–60% chances of showers or thunderstorms and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that enhance marine cooling from the East Sea. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 75% and variable cloud cover, create a narrow range for peak temperatures, keeping 30–31°C as the market leaders at combined 52% implied probability. Coastal moderation and limited solar heating under overcast skies differentiate the closely bunched outcomes, while any model shift toward clearer skies could push readings toward 32°C. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 3?
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
25%
31°C
28%
32°C
16%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$220 Vol.
1%
27°C
$220 Vol.
9%
28°C
$20 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$6 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$16 Vol.
16%
33°C
$11 Vol.
5%
34°C
$5 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan around 27–30°C on September 3, with 40–60% chances of showers or thunderstorms and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that enhance marine cooling from the East Sea. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 75% and variable cloud cover, create a narrow range for peak temperatures, keeping 30–31°C as the market leaders at combined 52% implied probability. Coastal moderation and limited solar heating under overcast skies differentiate the closely bunched outcomes, while any model shift toward clearer skies could push readings toward 32°C. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$627End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan around 27–30°C on September 3, with 40–60% chances of showers or thunderstorms and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that enhance marine cooling from the East Sea. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 75% and variable cloud cover, create a narrow range for peak temperatures, keeping 30–31°C as the market leaders at combined 52% implied probability. Coastal moderation and limited solar heating under overcast skies differentiate the closely bunched outcomes, while any model shift toward clearer skies could push readings toward 32°C. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$627End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan around 27–30°C on September 3, with 40–60% chances of showers or thunderstorms and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph that enhance marine cooling from the East Sea. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 75% and variable cloud cover, create a narrow range for peak temperatures, keeping 30–31°C as the market leaders at combined 52% implied probability. Coastal moderation and limited solar heating under overcast skies differentiate the closely bunched outcomes, while any model shift toward clearer skies could push readings toward 32°C. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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