Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 28–32°C, with consensus favoring 29–31°C amid lingering late-summer high pressure and elevated humidity. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and potential scattered showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range, while clear conditions or warm advection might push readings higher. This aligns with the market's concentration around 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model runs showing a transition toward typical early-autumn averages of 26–28°C but delayed by persistent warmth observed through late August. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 1?
32°C 44%
31°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
18%
30°C
21%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$225 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$10 Vol.
44%
33°C
$44 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 28–32°C, with consensus favoring 29–31°C amid lingering late-summer high pressure and elevated humidity. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and potential scattered showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range, while clear conditions or warm advection might push readings higher. This aligns with the market's concentration around 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model runs showing a transition toward typical early-autumn averages of 26–28°C but delayed by persistent warmth observed through late August. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$447End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 28–32°C, with consensus favoring 29–31°C amid lingering late-summer high pressure and elevated humidity. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and potential scattered showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range, while clear conditions or warm advection might push readings higher. This aligns with the market's concentration around 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model runs showing a transition toward typical early-autumn averages of 26–28°C but delayed by persistent warmth observed through late August. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$447End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 28–32°C, with consensus favoring 29–31°C amid lingering late-summer high pressure and elevated humidity. Coastal moderation from the East Sea and potential scattered showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range, while clear conditions or warm advection might push readings higher. This aligns with the market's concentration around 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model runs showing a transition toward typical early-autumn averages of 26–28°C but delayed by persistent warmth observed through late August. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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