Persistent easterly flow and widespread cloud cover with 75–95% rain probability on September 3 are keeping forecast overnight lows near 25–27°C across CWA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. Heavy showers and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, limiting the nocturnal temperature drop that would otherwise reach the low 20s under clearer skies. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns or frontal passages, so the market’s near-even split between the 26°C and 22°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud-break timing and rainfall intensity rather than divergent large-scale dynamics. Historical early-September minima in Taipei average 24–26°C under similar monsoonal conditions, underscoring how any unexpected clearing could shift the lowest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
26°C 49%
32°C or higher 47%
23°C 46%
22°C or below 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
45%
23°C
46%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
49%
27°C
30%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
47%
26°C 49%
32°C or higher 47%
23°C 46%
22°C or below 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
45%
23°C
$5 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$53 Vol.
3%
30°C
$300 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and widespread cloud cover with 75–95% rain probability on September 3 are keeping forecast overnight lows near 25–27°C across CWA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. Heavy showers and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, limiting the nocturnal temperature drop that would otherwise reach the low 20s under clearer skies. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns or frontal passages, so the market’s near-even split between the 26°C and 22°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud-break timing and rainfall intensity rather than divergent large-scale dynamics. Historical early-September minima in Taipei average 24–26°C under similar monsoonal conditions, underscoring how any unexpected clearing could shift the lowest reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$373End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and widespread cloud cover with 75–95% rain probability on September 3 are keeping forecast overnight lows near 25–27°C across CWA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. Heavy showers and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, limiting the nocturnal temperature drop that would otherwise reach the low 20s under clearer skies. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns or frontal passages, so the market’s near-even split between the 26°C and 22°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud-break timing and rainfall intensity rather than divergent large-scale dynamics. Historical early-September minima in Taipei average 24–26°C under similar monsoonal conditions, underscoring how any unexpected clearing could shift the lowest reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$373End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow and widespread cloud cover with 75–95% rain probability on September 3 are keeping forecast overnight lows near 25–27°C across CWA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. Heavy showers and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, limiting the nocturnal temperature drop that would otherwise reach the low 20s under clearer skies. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns or frontal passages, so the market’s near-even split between the 26°C and 22°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud-break timing and rainfall intensity rather than divergent large-scale dynamics. Historical early-September minima in Taipei average 24–26°C under similar monsoonal conditions, underscoring how any unexpected clearing could shift the lowest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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