Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a September 3 high of 29–31 °C in Incheon under clearing skies, northerly flow, and reduced humidity after early-week rainfall. Daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds supports peak readings near 30 °C, aligning with early-September climatology of 27–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Market-implied odds favor 30 °C, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus while acknowledging residual model uncertainty ahead of final observational verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
$118 Vol.
1%
25°C
$289 Vol.
1%
26°C
$196 Vol.
1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
2%
28°C
$63 Vol.
4%
29°C
$73 Vol.
16%
30°C
$469 Vol.
45%
31°C
$392 Vol.
32%
32°C
$181 Vol.
6%
33°C
$95 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a September 3 high of 29–31 °C in Incheon under clearing skies, northerly flow, and reduced humidity after early-week rainfall. Daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds supports peak readings near 30 °C, aligning with early-September climatology of 27–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Market-implied odds favor 30 °C, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus while acknowledging residual model uncertainty ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,096End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a September 3 high of 29–31 °C in Incheon under clearing skies, northerly flow, and reduced humidity after early-week rainfall. Daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds supports peak readings near 30 °C, aligning with early-September climatology of 27–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Market-implied odds favor 30 °C, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus while acknowledging residual model uncertainty ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,096End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a September 3 high of 29–31 °C in Incheon under clearing skies, northerly flow, and reduced humidity after early-week rainfall. Daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds supports peak readings near 30 °C, aligning with early-September climatology of 27–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Market-implied odds favor 30 °C, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus while acknowledging residual model uncertainty ahead of final observational verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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