Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs points to clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 6, promoting strong nighttime radiational cooling that supports minimum temperatures clustered near 10–12 °C. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around 8–11 °C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate how far temperatures fall before dawn. Seasonal climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C for the date, so current guidance sits close to normal but with limited downside risk from any unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection. Traders will watch the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to the overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
15%
6°C
21%
7°C
20%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
49%
12°C
17%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C or higher
7%
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$10 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs points to clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 6, promoting strong nighttime radiational cooling that supports minimum temperatures clustered near 10–12 °C. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around 8–11 °C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate how far temperatures fall before dawn. Seasonal climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C for the date, so current guidance sits close to normal but with limited downside risk from any unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection. Traders will watch the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs points to clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 6, promoting strong nighttime radiational cooling that supports minimum temperatures clustered near 10–12 °C. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around 8–11 °C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate how far temperatures fall before dawn. Seasonal climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C for the date, so current guidance sits close to normal but with limited downside risk from any unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection. Traders will watch the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs points to clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 6, promoting strong nighttime radiational cooling that supports minimum temperatures clustered near 10–12 °C. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around 8–11 °C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate how far temperatures fall before dawn. Seasonal climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C for the date, so current guidance sits close to normal but with limited downside risk from any unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection. Traders will watch the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to the overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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