Recent model consensus and persistent clear skies under a stable high-pressure system over the Yellow Sea region support trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes for Qingdao’s September 6 high. Northeast winds at 3–4 levels, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, are expected to allow strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources currently project 28–29°C, yet the narrow spread between 30°C (36%) and 31°C (38%) reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, local urban heat effects, and potential slight shifts in steering flow. Historical early-September maxima near 27°C underscore that current conditions favor above-average readings, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
31°C 38%
30°C 36%
32°C 12%
35°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
38%
32°C
12%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
12%
31°C 38%
30°C 36%
32°C 12%
35°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$147 Vol.
2%
28°C
$149 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
36%
31°C
$15 Vol.
38%
32°C
$24 Vol.
12%
33°C
$7 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and persistent clear skies under a stable high-pressure system over the Yellow Sea region support trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes for Qingdao’s September 6 high. Northeast winds at 3–4 levels, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, are expected to allow strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources currently project 28–29°C, yet the narrow spread between 30°C (36%) and 31°C (38%) reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, local urban heat effects, and potential slight shifts in steering flow. Historical early-September maxima near 27°C underscore that current conditions favor above-average readings, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$341End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and persistent clear skies under a stable high-pressure system over the Yellow Sea region support trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes for Qingdao’s September 6 high. Northeast winds at 3–4 levels, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, are expected to allow strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources currently project 28–29°C, yet the narrow spread between 30°C (36%) and 31°C (38%) reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, local urban heat effects, and potential slight shifts in steering flow. Historical early-September maxima near 27°C underscore that current conditions favor above-average readings, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$341End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and persistent clear skies under a stable high-pressure system over the Yellow Sea region support trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes for Qingdao’s September 6 high. Northeast winds at 3–4 levels, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, are expected to allow strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources currently project 28–29°C, yet the narrow spread between 30°C (36%) and 31°C (38%) reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, local urban heat effects, and potential slight shifts in steering flow. Historical early-September maxima near 27°C underscore that current conditions favor above-average readings, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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