**Forecast models and observational trends point to a high-pressure ridge and clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4, 2026, favoring a daily maximum near 31–33 °C.** Northeast winds and reduced cloud cover after today’s showers (Sep 3 highs ~26–27 °C) will allow greater insolation, while moderate humidity (around 50 %) and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological guidance and global models, converge on 30–32 °C, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32 °C at 40.5 % and 33 °C at 27.5 %—captures this central tendency while assigning lower weight to outliers, consistent with the narrow uncertainty range in current runs. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing keeps 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
32°C 41%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
41%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 41%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$168 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$308 Vol.
1%
29°C
$75 Vol.
2%
30°C
$134 Vol.
5%
31°C
$425 Vol.
18%
32°C
$411 Vol.
41%
33°C
$231 Vol.
28%
34°C
$452 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$221 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends point to a high-pressure ridge and clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4, 2026, favoring a daily maximum near 31–33 °C.**
Northeast winds and reduced cloud cover after today’s showers (Sep 3 highs ~26–27 °C) will allow greater insolation, while moderate humidity (around 50 %) and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological guidance and global models, converge on 30–32 °C, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32 °C at 40.5 % and 33 °C at 27.5 %—captures this central tendency while assigning lower weight to outliers, consistent with the narrow uncertainty range in current runs. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing keeps 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,258End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends point to a high-pressure ridge and clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4, 2026, favoring a daily maximum near 31–33 °C.**
Northeast winds and reduced cloud cover after today’s showers (Sep 3 highs ~26–27 °C) will allow greater insolation, while moderate humidity (around 50 %) and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological guidance and global models, converge on 30–32 °C, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32 °C at 40.5 % and 33 °C at 27.5 %—captures this central tendency while assigning lower weight to outliers, consistent with the narrow uncertainty range in current runs. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing keeps 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,258End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational trends point to a high-pressure ridge and clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4, 2026, favoring a daily maximum near 31–33 °C.** Northeast winds and reduced cloud cover after today’s showers (Sep 3 highs ~26–27 °C) will allow greater insolation, while moderate humidity (around 50 %) and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological guidance and global models, converge on 30–32 °C, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32 °C at 40.5 % and 33 °C at 27.5 %—captures this central tendency while assigning lower weight to outliers, consistent with the narrow uncertainty range in current runs. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing keeps 31 °C and 34 °C as secondary possibilities ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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