Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 6, driven by persistent high humidity, Atlantic moderation, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiational cooling. Historical climatology shows early September average lows near 77°F, with recent observed minima at Miami International Airport ranging 75–78°F amid a stable warm pattern featuring daytime highs near 90°F. The market's emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and ensemble consistency, while slightly lower or higher bins capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or moisture advection. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 6?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
71°F or below
11%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$76 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$157 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 6, driven by persistent high humidity, Atlantic moderation, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiational cooling. Historical climatology shows early September average lows near 77°F, with recent observed minima at Miami International Airport ranging 75–78°F amid a stable warm pattern featuring daytime highs near 90°F. The market's emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and ensemble consistency, while slightly lower or higher bins capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or moisture advection. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$233End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 6, driven by persistent high humidity, Atlantic moderation, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiational cooling. Historical climatology shows early September average lows near 77°F, with recent observed minima at Miami International Airport ranging 75–78°F amid a stable warm pattern featuring daytime highs near 90°F. The market's emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and ensemble consistency, while slightly lower or higher bins capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or moisture advection. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 6, driven by persistent high humidity, Atlantic moderation, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiational cooling. Historical climatology shows early September average lows near 77°F, with recent observed minima at Miami International Airport ranging 75–78°F amid a stable warm pattern featuring daytime highs near 90°F. The market's emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and ensemble consistency, while slightly lower or higher bins capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or moisture advection. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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