Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Houston on September 6, with highs expected in the lower 90s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Scattered convection, driven by daytime heating and available moisture, often develops by midday and can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling before the daily peak. Historical climatology shows an average high near 91°F, but recent model runs and observed trends from early September suggest modest suppression from persistent tropical moisture. This uncertainty between upper-80s and low-90s readings underpins the tight market split, as the precise timing and coverage of storms will determine whether readings reach 90–91°F or stay in the 88–89°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and radar trends through the weekend will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 6?
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 22%
84-85°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
8%
100°F or higher
8%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 22%
84-85°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$26 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$547 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$8 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
15%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
8%
100°F or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Houston on September 6, with highs expected in the lower 90s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Scattered convection, driven by daytime heating and available moisture, often develops by midday and can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling before the daily peak. Historical climatology shows an average high near 91°F, but recent model runs and observed trends from early September suggest modest suppression from persistent tropical moisture. This uncertainty between upper-80s and low-90s readings underpins the tight market split, as the precise timing and coverage of storms will determine whether readings reach 90–91°F or stay in the 88–89°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and radar trends through the weekend will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$581End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Houston on September 6, with highs expected in the lower 90s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Scattered convection, driven by daytime heating and available moisture, often develops by midday and can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling before the daily peak. Historical climatology shows an average high near 91°F, but recent model runs and observed trends from early September suggest modest suppression from persistent tropical moisture. This uncertainty between upper-80s and low-90s readings underpins the tight market split, as the precise timing and coverage of storms will determine whether readings reach 90–91°F or stay in the 88–89°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and radar trends through the weekend will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$581End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Houston on September 6, with highs expected in the lower 90s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Scattered convection, driven by daytime heating and available moisture, often develops by midday and can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling before the daily peak. Historical climatology shows an average high near 91°F, but recent model runs and observed trends from early September suggest modest suppression from persistent tropical moisture. This uncertainty between upper-80s and low-90s readings underpins the tight market split, as the precise timing and coverage of storms will determine whether readings reach 90–91°F or stay in the 88–89°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and radar trends through the weekend will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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