Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 6 in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air under high pressure with limited radiative cooling. High dew points near 70°F and mostly clear skies further suppress temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across North Texas. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter this trajectory through the weekend. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 78–83°F brackets, aligns with these stable conditions and historical analogs for early September under similar synoptic setups. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key watchpoints before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
6%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 6 in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air under high pressure with limited radiative cooling. High dew points near 70°F and mostly clear skies further suppress temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across North Texas. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter this trajectory through the weekend. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 78–83°F brackets, aligns with these stable conditions and historical analogs for early September under similar synoptic setups. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key watchpoints before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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