Strong high-pressure ridging aloft over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong subsidence, and enhanced daytime heating across North Texas, pushing Sunday’s maximum well above the late-summer climatological average of 92–93 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus target a peak near 99–100 °F under light southeast flow and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices reaching 105 °F. The narrow spread between the 98–99 °F (46.5 %) and 100–101 °F (38.5 %) bins reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any subtle differences among short-range model solutions or localized boundary-layer mixing. Fresh NWS forecast discussions and updated model runs through Saturday will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
3%
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$100 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$100 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$55 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$55 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$217 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$265 Vol.
47%
100-101°F
$1,455 Vol.
39%
102-103°F
$92 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$55 Vol.
3%
106°F or higher
$62 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging aloft over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong subsidence, and enhanced daytime heating across North Texas, pushing Sunday’s maximum well above the late-summer climatological average of 92–93 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus target a peak near 99–100 °F under light southeast flow and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices reaching 105 °F. The narrow spread between the 98–99 °F (46.5 %) and 100–101 °F (38.5 %) bins reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any subtle differences among short-range model solutions or localized boundary-layer mixing. Fresh NWS forecast discussions and updated model runs through Saturday will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,492End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging aloft over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong subsidence, and enhanced daytime heating across North Texas, pushing Sunday’s maximum well above the late-summer climatological average of 92–93 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus target a peak near 99–100 °F under light southeast flow and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices reaching 105 °F. The narrow spread between the 98–99 °F (46.5 %) and 100–101 °F (38.5 %) bins reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any subtle differences among short-range model solutions or localized boundary-layer mixing. Fresh NWS forecast discussions and updated model runs through Saturday will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,492End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong high-pressure ridging aloft over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong subsidence, and enhanced daytime heating across North Texas, pushing Sunday’s maximum well above the late-summer climatological average of 92–93 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus target a peak near 99–100 °F under light southeast flow and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices reaching 105 °F. The narrow spread between the 98–99 °F (46.5 %) and 100–101 °F (38.5 %) bins reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any subtle differences among short-range model solutions or localized boundary-layer mixing. Fresh NWS forecast discussions and updated model runs through Saturday will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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