Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Karachi on September 6 centers on 31–32°C due to consistent short-range model guidance showing peak readings moderated by persistent west-southwest winds off the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover. High humidity levels near 60–80% and residual monsoon moisture further cap daytime heating, aligning with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for hot, humid conditions in southern Sindh without significant rainfall. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while minor model spreads in cloud timing and wind strength explain the tight split in market-implied odds; updated ensemble runs closer to the date will likely narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
31°C 43%
32°C 39%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
43%
32°C
39%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
32°C 39%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
1%
29°C
$130 Vol.
3%
30°C
$394 Vol.
7%
31°C
$171 Vol.
43%
32°C
$148 Vol.
39%
33°C
$70 Vol.
9%
34°C
$57 Vol.
2%
35°C
$98 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Karachi on September 6 centers on 31–32°C due to consistent short-range model guidance showing peak readings moderated by persistent west-southwest winds off the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover. High humidity levels near 60–80% and residual monsoon moisture further cap daytime heating, aligning with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for hot, humid conditions in southern Sindh without significant rainfall. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while minor model spreads in cloud timing and wind strength explain the tight split in market-implied odds; updated ensemble runs closer to the date will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,459End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Karachi on September 6 centers on 31–32°C due to consistent short-range model guidance showing peak readings moderated by persistent west-southwest winds off the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover. High humidity levels near 60–80% and residual monsoon moisture further cap daytime heating, aligning with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for hot, humid conditions in southern Sindh without significant rainfall. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while minor model spreads in cloud timing and wind strength explain the tight split in market-implied odds; updated ensemble runs closer to the date will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,459End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Karachi on September 6 centers on 31–32°C due to consistent short-range model guidance showing peak readings moderated by persistent west-southwest winds off the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover. High humidity levels near 60–80% and residual monsoon moisture further cap daytime heating, aligning with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for hot, humid conditions in southern Sindh without significant rainfall. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while minor model spreads in cloud timing and wind strength explain the tight split in market-implied odds; updated ensemble runs closer to the date will likely narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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