Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by post-frontal clearing, northwest winds of 8–12 mph, and enhanced radiational cooling under partly to mostly clear skies after Sunday’s rain. Dew points falling into the upper 50s to low 60s and surface high pressure building from the north support this range, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (41.5%) and 66–67°F (36.5%) bins. Ensemble spread and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty around the exact overnight low, while climatological September minima near 60°F provide context for the current forecast consensus. Updated model runs and local observations through early Monday morning will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 14?
64-65°F 42%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 12%
62-63°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 42%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 12%
62-63°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
57°F or below
$7 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$274 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$294 Vol.
42%
66-67°F
$1,032 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$7 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by post-frontal clearing, northwest winds of 8–12 mph, and enhanced radiational cooling under partly to mostly clear skies after Sunday’s rain. Dew points falling into the upper 50s to low 60s and surface high pressure building from the north support this range, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (41.5%) and 66–67°F (36.5%) bins. Ensemble spread and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty around the exact overnight low, while climatological September minima near 60°F provide context for the current forecast consensus. Updated model runs and local observations through early Monday morning will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,615End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by post-frontal clearing, northwest winds of 8–12 mph, and enhanced radiational cooling under partly to mostly clear skies after Sunday’s rain. Dew points falling into the upper 50s to low 60s and surface high pressure building from the north support this range, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (41.5%) and 66–67°F (36.5%) bins. Ensemble spread and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty around the exact overnight low, while climatological September minima near 60°F provide context for the current forecast consensus. Updated model runs and local observations through early Monday morning will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,615End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by post-frontal clearing, northwest winds of 8–12 mph, and enhanced radiational cooling under partly to mostly clear skies after Sunday’s rain. Dew points falling into the upper 50s to low 60s and surface high pressure building from the north support this range, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (41.5%) and 66–67°F (36.5%) bins. Ensemble spread and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty around the exact overnight low, while climatological September minima near 60°F provide context for the current forecast consensus. Updated model runs and local observations through early Monday morning will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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