Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, project an overnight minimum near 23–25°C on September 14 amid the rainy season’s typical high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average lows around 24°C and supports the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 53% implied probability, followed by 26°C. Recent observations show daytime highs near 28–29°C with scattered showers maintaining elevated dew points near 26°C, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. No major weather systems are altering the pattern, so traders are weighting model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling while noting uncertainty from variable precipitation timing. Official station readings will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 14?
25°C 53%
27°C 40%
26°C 19%
28°C 15%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
53%
26°C
30%
27°C
40%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
11%
25°C 53%
27°C 40%
26°C 19%
28°C 15%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
53%
26°C
30%
27°C
40%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, project an overnight minimum near 23–25°C on September 14 amid the rainy season’s typical high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average lows around 24°C and supports the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 53% implied probability, followed by 26°C. Recent observations show daytime highs near 28–29°C with scattered showers maintaining elevated dew points near 26°C, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. No major weather systems are altering the pattern, so traders are weighting model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling while noting uncertainty from variable precipitation timing. Official station readings will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions