Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 30–32°C in Jinan on September 14 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 25–30%, driving the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions following today's observed highs near 29–31°C support modest daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–29°C, making current guidance slightly above normal and tightening trader focus on the narrow 30–32°C cluster. Updated model runs and official Chinese meteorological observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 14?
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 18%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 18%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 30–32°C in Jinan on September 14 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 25–30%, driving the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions following today's observed highs near 29–31°C support modest daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–29°C, making current guidance slightly above normal and tightening trader focus on the narrow 30–32°C cluster. Updated model runs and official Chinese meteorological observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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