Recent forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to Mexico City's late rainy season will limit daytime heating on September 14, keeping the peak near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader emphasis on 24 °C over 25 °C or 23 °C reflects this climatological baseline plus uncertainty in afternoon convective timing: stronger or earlier rainfall reduces solar insolation and caps the high, while brief clearing or delayed storms could add 1 °C. High humidity, light winds, and orographic effects further moderate extremes, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact maximum by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
24°C 42%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
42%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
9%
24°C 42%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$137 Vol.
1%
17°C
$137 Vol.
1%
18°C
$137 Vol.
1%
19°C
$137 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$116 Vol.
2%
22°C
$42 Vol.
4%
23°C
$301 Vol.
18%
24°C
$159 Vol.
42%
25°C
$67 Vol.
30%
26°C or higher
$233 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to Mexico City's late rainy season will limit daytime heating on September 14, keeping the peak near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader emphasis on 24 °C over 25 °C or 23 °C reflects this climatological baseline plus uncertainty in afternoon convective timing: stronger or earlier rainfall reduces solar insolation and caps the high, while brief clearing or delayed storms could add 1 °C. High humidity, light winds, and orographic effects further moderate extremes, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact maximum by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,467End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to Mexico City's late rainy season will limit daytime heating on September 14, keeping the peak near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader emphasis on 24 °C over 25 °C or 23 °C reflects this climatological baseline plus uncertainty in afternoon convective timing: stronger or earlier rainfall reduces solar insolation and caps the high, while brief clearing or delayed storms could add 1 °C. High humidity, light winds, and orographic effects further moderate extremes, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact maximum by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,467End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to Mexico City's late rainy season will limit daytime heating on September 14, keeping the peak near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader emphasis on 24 °C over 25 °C or 23 °C reflects this climatological baseline plus uncertainty in afternoon convective timing: stronger or earlier rainfall reduces solar insolation and caps the high, while brief clearing or delayed storms could add 1 °C. High humidity, light winds, and orographic effects further moderate extremes, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact maximum by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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