Recent numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy setup for Zhengzhou on September 14, with light easterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime heating to highs near 30–31°C. This consensus underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, where 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C together exceed 70% probability. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, exact wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 29–31°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end of the range. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 1400 local time will resolve the market, with final model runs expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14?
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
23%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$5 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$70 Vol.
1%
35°C
$60 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$35 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy setup for Zhengzhou on September 14, with light easterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime heating to highs near 30–31°C. This consensus underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, where 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C together exceed 70% probability. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, exact wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 29–31°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end of the range. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 1400 local time will resolve the market, with final model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$250End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy setup for Zhengzhou on September 14, with light easterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime heating to highs near 30–31°C. This consensus underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, where 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C together exceed 70% probability. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, exact wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 29–31°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end of the range. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 1400 local time will resolve the market, with final model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy setup for Zhengzhou on September 14, with light easterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime heating to highs near 30–31°C. This consensus underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, where 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C together exceed 70% probability. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud cover, exact wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 29–31°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end of the range. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 1400 local time will resolve the market, with final model runs expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions