Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on September 13 project a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Multiple model runs align on stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that support afternoon warming well above seasonal averages for mid-September in Shandong province. Official monitoring confirms temperatures have already climbed into the upper 20s by late morning, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation indicated. While the consensus outcome appears robust, realistic challenges could include unforecasted afternoon thunderstorm development or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that limits peak heating before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 13?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on September 13 project a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Multiple model runs align on stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that support afternoon warming well above seasonal averages for mid-September in Shandong province. Official monitoring confirms temperatures have already climbed into the upper 20s by late morning, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation indicated. While the consensus outcome appears robust, realistic challenges could include unforecasted afternoon thunderstorm development or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that limits peak heating before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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