Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$228 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$45 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$174 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$255 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$1,484 Vol.
23%
76-77°F
$1,159 Vol.
55%
78-79°F
$2,692 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$256 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$180 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$238 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,957End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,957End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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