**Current National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs point to a Monday high near 89°F in Miami, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a 30-50% rain chance.** High humidity will support heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit further warming after peak heating. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical maxima in the upper 80s, consistent with the current steering pattern and lack of stronger high pressure. The market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F reflects trader views that the official high could edge into the low 90s depending on the exact timing of storms or slight forecast adjustments before observation. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS update and any revised model runs through early Monday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 14?
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 21%
92-93°F 15%
86-87°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
61%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 21%
92-93°F 15%
86-87°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
79°F or below
$193 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$211 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$243 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$480 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$1,546 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$1,279 Vol.
61%
92-93°F
$3,067 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$316 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$212 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs point to a Monday high near 89°F in Miami, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a 30-50% rain chance.** High humidity will support heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit further warming after peak heating. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical maxima in the upper 80s, consistent with the current steering pattern and lack of stronger high pressure. The market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F reflects trader views that the official high could edge into the low 90s depending on the exact timing of storms or slight forecast adjustments before observation. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS update and any revised model runs through early Monday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,205End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs point to a Monday high near 89°F in Miami, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a 30-50% rain chance.** High humidity will support heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit further warming after peak heating. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical maxima in the upper 80s, consistent with the current steering pattern and lack of stronger high pressure. The market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F reflects trader views that the official high could edge into the low 90s depending on the exact timing of storms or slight forecast adjustments before observation. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS update and any revised model runs through early Monday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,205End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs point to a Monday high near 89°F in Miami, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a 30-50% rain chance.** High humidity will support heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit further warming after peak heating. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical maxima in the upper 80s, consistent with the current steering pattern and lack of stronger high pressure. The market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F reflects trader views that the official high could edge into the low 90s depending on the exact timing of storms or slight forecast adjustments before observation. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS update and any revised model runs through early Monday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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