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icon for Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?

Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?

icon for Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?

Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?

Sep 1

Oct 1

Sep 1

Oct 1

Over

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Over

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**The "Under" side holds a 60.5% market-implied probability** because the Mega Charizard Y ex hyper rare (#294/217 from ME: Ascended Heroes) currently trades around $355 raw, well below the $405.34 threshold, after a steep post-release decline. Verified sales data show a roughly 39% drop over the past 90 days and continued softness in the most recent week, reflecting cooling collector demand for this modern gold hyper rare once initial set hype faded. Traders see limited near-term catalysts through September 30. No major new releases, grading surges, or Charizard-driven market spikes appear on the horizon, and broader Pokémon TCG secondary-market trends have favored stability or modest erosion rather than rapid rebounds for comparable chase cards. Historical patterns for post-set hyper rares reinforce the view that prices often settle lower after the first few months of trading. While short-term volatility from eBay volume or sudden social-media buzz remains possible, the current trajectory and absence of positive momentum support consensus around the under outcome.

This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.

This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$1,775
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**The "Under" side holds a 60.5% market-implied probability** because the Mega Charizard Y ex hyper rare (#294/217 from ME: Ascended Heroes) currently trades around $355 raw, well below the $405.34 threshold, after a steep post-release decline. Verified sales data show a roughly 39% drop over the past 90 days and continued softness in the most recent week, reflecting cooling collector demand for this modern gold hyper rare once initial set hype faded. Traders see limited near-term catalysts through September 30. No major new releases, grading surges, or Charizard-driven market spikes appear on the horizon, and broader Pokémon TCG secondary-market trends have favored stability or modest erosion rather than rapid rebounds for comparable chase cards. Historical patterns for post-set hyper rares reinforce the view that prices often settle lower after the first few months of trading. While short-term volatility from eBay volume or sudden social-media buzz remains possible, the current trajectory and absence of positive momentum support consensus around the under outcome.

This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.

This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$1,775
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" is "Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.